Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.655653 0.849244 1.068096 1.330680 1.634065 1.970627 2.369233
2025-03-30 0.417092 0.664364 0.980442 1.399537 1.926414 2.553550 3.342955
2025-04-06 0.257612 0.515019 0.888226 1.431044 2.164458 3.087939 4.305199
2025-04-13 0.144130 0.379190 0.771389 1.397470 2.302179 3.499200 5.139511
2025-04-20 0.083352 0.295896 0.703698 1.411394 2.493237 3.982276 6.084587
2025-04-27 0.046365 0.233064 0.647574 1.426090 2.677316 4.458552 7.036436
2025-05-04 0.020685 0.170098 0.567227 1.381487 2.760395 4.790987 7.801726
2025-05-11 0.007309 0.120859 0.493022 1.328750 2.817893 5.081459 8.512586
2025-05-18 0.002433 0.093560 0.456606 1.336212 2.967736 5.508455 9.423750
2025-05-25 0.000313 0.065738 0.402716 1.296084 3.029476 5.800838 10.147428
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.057147 0.402707 1.367877 3.287859 6.401489 11.330828
2025-06-08 NaN 0.043188 0.374942 1.372013 3.423432 6.813432 12.246438
2025-06-15 NaN 0.039883 0.388402 1.476662 3.754062 7.552757 13.677420
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033912 0.386597 1.544392 4.020406 8.199175 14.987370
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026418 0.370992 1.574853 4.217512 8.740054 16.151691
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017044 0.332395 1.537367 4.279436 9.061135 16.990119
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012194 0.314430 1.551367 4.441662 9.550509 18.093099
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008545 0.298263 1.566592 4.605506 10.045216 19.211525
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004510 0.263898 1.518802 4.634945 10.312040 19.980958
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001949 0.230093 1.462416 4.639681 10.533861 20.681721
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001021 0.216634 1.470321 4.781812 10.995596 21.766274
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000283 0.191036 1.427451 4.807895 11.253339 22.530752
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000206 0.196875 1.504059 5.105952 11.998183 24.082390